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Summary: This dashboard provides automated tracking of emerging trends within the London Borough of Hillingdon's planning database, identifying phrases and development types that are appearing significantly more often than they have historically.


The system operates by comparing the vocabulary used in applications from the last six months against a historical baseline dating back to May 2022. Using frequency analysis, it calculates a 'Spike Score' for unique phrases, with mathematical smoothing applied to brand-new terms to provide realistic comparisons. This multi-year baseline allows us to distinguish between standard cyclical development and genuine new arrivals in the planning landscape.

To ensure results are meaningful, the logic filters out administrative planning jargon and merges synonyms, requiring a pattern to appear in at least three unique applications before it is surfaced as a noteworthy trend. This rigorous filtering ensures that only genuine shifts in activity are presented.

By surfacing these patterns, the tool provides a neutral overview of coordinated rollouts—such as telecommunications hubs—and shifts in residential trends like specific types of garage conversions or environmental upgrades. This analysis focuses purely on statistical deviations from normal activity, allowing residents and stakeholders to observe trends as they develop. This ensures that high-frequency planning shifts remain visible even when they are spread across multiple different wards, helping to provide a borough-wide perspective on how Hillingdon is changing.

Pattern: “restoration scheme”

COLNE VALLEY VIADUCT, WETLANDS ECOLOGICAL MITIGATION SITE HARVIL ROAD HAREFIELD
ICK/HAM & S HF/D 22 Validated: 29th Jan
Undecided
Request for agreement of a Site Restoration Scheme on land parcels to the south of Moorhall Road, in proximity to the Colne Valley Viaduct and its associated construction works, in accordance with Paragraph 5(1) of Schedule 16 to the High Speed Rail (London - West Midlands) Act 2017.
COLNE VALLEY VIADUCT MOORHALL ROAD HAREFIELD
HARE/D VILLAGES 2022 Validated: 11th Dec
Undecided
Request for agreement of a Site Restoration Scheme on land to the northeast of Moorhall Road (including Wildlife Trust land and Tarmac land), in accordance with Paragraph 5(1) of Schedule 16 to the High Speed Rail (London - West Midlands) Act 2017.
COLNE VALLEY VIADUCT BROADWATER LAKE HAREFIELD
Harefield Villages Validated: 11th Sep
Approval
Request for agreement of a Site Restoration Scheme of land to the east of the Viaduct extending between Broadwater Lake and Harefield Lake, in accordance with Paragraph 5(1) of Schedule 16 to the High Speed Rail (London - West Midlands) Act 2017.
COLNE VALLEY VIADUCT DEWS LANE HAREFIELD
Ickenham & South Harefield Validated: 9th Sep
Approval
Request for agreement of a Site Restoration Scheme of land between Hillingdon Outdoor Activity Centre and Harefield Lake no.2, in proximity to the Colne Valley Viaduct and its associated construction works, in accordance with Paragraph 5(1) of Schedule 16 to the High Speed Rail (London - West Midlands) Act 2017.